Rubián vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rubián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FER
4 - 2
RUB
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SLA
0 - 2
RUB
41%
24%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
RUB
0 - 0
SOB
29%
22%
48%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RES
3 - 2
RUB
27%
23%
50%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RUB
2 - 1
SCO
19%
21%
60%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
SLA
46%
23%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SOB
3 - 0
COM
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
RES
48%
23%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SCO
0 - 0
COM
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
CAS
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |