Würges vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
KIC
5 - 0
WUR
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
WUR
2 - 1
SWM
73%
17%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BAU
2 - 1
WUR
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 1
HUN
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FSV
3 - 0
FER
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
FER
3 - 3
URB
38%
24%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SWM
2 - 2
FER
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
FER
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FER
3 - 0
BAU
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |