Würges vs Bayern Alzenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
FER
1 - 2
WUR
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WUR
4 - 0
BRA
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
WUR
0 - 0
FUL
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
KKA
0 - 3
WUR
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
SWM
1 - 1
WUR
49%
23%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern Alzenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
BAY
1 - 3
FSV
21%
22%
58%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 1
BAY
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BAY
1 - 1
ESC
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
BAY
0 - 1
WAL
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
VIK
2 - 1
BAY
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |