Würges vs Bad Hersfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
WUR
0 - 0
WAL
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
ESC
1 - 1
WUR
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
GOR
3 - 2
WUR
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
WUR
1 - 1
EIN
53%
23%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 1
WUR
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bad Hersfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BHE
0 - 3
EIN
21%
23%
57%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
BHE
2 - 3
FER
25%
23%
52%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
BHE
1 - 4
SWM
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
VEL
6 - 1
BHE
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FSV
8 - 1
BHE
78%
15%
7%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |