Rozzano vs ASD Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+141%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
USO
0 - 1
ROZ
10%
17%
74%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ROZ
0 - 0
MON
32%
24%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MED
0 - 2
ROZ
15%
19%
66%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ROZ
2 - 1
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LOC
2 - 3
ROZ
22%
22%
56%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
USO
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MON
5 - 0
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 3
MED
24%
23%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
EXC
85%
10%
4%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +1 |