Las Rozas vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
16º
5º
33
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
61.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Rozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 0
LRZ
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RMA
4 - 0
LRZ
50%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LRZ
1 - 2
ALC
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
URS
2 - 2
LRZ
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LRZ
3 - 1
ALC
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RVB
3 - 1
ALC
46%
24%
29%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
URS
3 - 0
RVB
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RVB
1 - 2
ALC
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TRJ
2 - 2
RVB
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RVB
0 - 1
CDM
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |