Copa Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-3
Royal Pari vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal Pari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
ROY
2 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ROY
2 - 1
AUR
60%
22%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
REA
6 - 0
ROY
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ROY
1 - 2
BOL
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
BLO
2 - 3
ROY
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
MAC
5 - 1
FAM
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 1
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CUE
1 - 2
MAC
26%
29%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 0
AUC
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
DEL
1 - 1
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |