Royal Leopards vs Manzini Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
YOU
1 - 1
ROY
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
TAM
0 - 0
ROY
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ROY
6 - 2
MAL
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ROY
1 - 3
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
MBA
0 - 1
ROY
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manzini Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 3
MBA
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 0
HFC
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 1
RLI
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
MAN
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |