Excel Mouscron U21 vs RFC Seraing U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excel Mouscron U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
ROY
3 - 0
DNZ
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
ROY
1 - 0
WAS
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
ROY
2 - 0
KOR
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
LIE
1 - 0
ROY
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
ROY
1 - 2
CER
27%
21%
53%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
RFC Seraing U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
SER
0 - 2
WAS
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
LIE
2 - 1
SER
73%
16%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
SER
1 - 0
WES
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
BWI
0 - 2
SER
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
LIE
4 - 1
SER
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |