Rothrist vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
74.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothrist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BST
2 - 0
ROT
58%
20%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ROT
1 - 2
ZOF
13%
16%
71%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
DIE
4 - 0
ROT
81%
12%
8%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ROT
2 - 4
FCW
12%
21%
67%
|
21 | 66 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
OLT
2 - 1
ROT
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
AAR
0 - 1
DUL
77%
14%
10%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
PAJ
0 - 1
AAR
33%
21%
46%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
AAR
2 - 0
WOH
86%
10%
5%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
AAR
0 - 2
BIB
93%
5%
2%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BST
1 - 2
AAR
13%
15%
72%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |