Rothes vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
73.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ROT
1 - 6
BUC
6%
11%
83%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 1
ROT
91%
7%
2%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ROT
2 - 1
DEV
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BRO
5 - 0
ROT
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 52 | 40 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ROT
2 - 2
INV
5%
13%
82%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | +5 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
KEI
0 - 3
COV
8%
15%
77%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 1
KEI
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KEI
0 - 1
NAI
25%
22%
54%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 3
KEI
8%
14%
78%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
KEI
5 - 2
STR
91%
7%
2%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |