Rothes vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
59.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 4
FOR
21%
19%
60%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 2
BRO
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 57 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 4
ROT
82%
11%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 7
WIC
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 2
KEI
52%
20%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
KEI
2 - 3
WIC
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
KEI
0 - 0
DEV
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
KEI
1 - 3
NAI
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
KEI
1 - 0
LOS
47%
21%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 0
KEI
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |