Rot-Weiß Wernigerode vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
77.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.7%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1991 |
KOL
1 - 1
KAI
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1991 |
KOL
0 - 0
SVS
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1991 |
BOC
2 - 2
KOL
30%
29%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 1
KOL
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1991 |
KOL
2 - 6
KAI
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |