Rot-Weiss Essen vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
ROT
0 - 0
MAI
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
BOC
5 - 4
ROT
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
ROT
3 - 1
WAL
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BOR
0 - 2
ROT
38%
26%
35%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ROT
3 - 0
SPO
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
VFB
0 - 5
GAL
10%
19%
72%
|
29 | 86 | 57 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
VFB
2 - 4
DUS
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
AAA
5 - 1
VFB
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
VFB
1 - 1
WUP
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
BAY
1 - 2
VFB
78%
15%
8%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |