Rot-Weiss Essen vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 1
WER
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 2
ROT
15%
23%
62%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
KÖL
0 - 1
ROT
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
AAA
1 - 3
ROT
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
WHE
0 - 2
ROT
17%
24%
60%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
KÖL
4 - 1
VEL
48%
24%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 1
SPE
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 2
WHE
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
WEG
2 - 2
VEL
12%
20%
68%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -3 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 1
SPO
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |