Rot-Weiss Essen vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
WAT
0 - 0
ROT
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 0
EBT
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
KFC
0 - 2
ROT
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
WER
2 - 0
ROT
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
ROT
0 - 0
DIE
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
STP
1 - 2
HOL
61%
21%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
HAM
1 - 0
STP
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
STP
1 - 2
WUP
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
SGD
1 - 0
STP
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
PRE
2 - 0
STP
26%
23%
51%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -2 |