Rot-Weiss Essen vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
STP
1 - 2
ROT
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ROT
4 - 2
WAT
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
EBT
1 - 0
ROT
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ROT
0 - 2
KFC
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
VFR
0 - 3
ROT
21%
25%
55%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
SGD
3 - 0
HOL
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
SGD
3 - 0
WUP
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 1
SGD
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
SGD
0 - 1
HSV
13%
23%
65%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
SGD
0 - 0
PRE
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |