Rot-Weiss Essen vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 4
ROT
26%
27%
48%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
PRE
1 - 3
ROT
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 0
HOL
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
HAM
0 - 4
ROT
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ROT
5 - 2
WUP
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
PAD
3 - 1
HOL
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
HAM
1 - 1
PAD
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
PAD
0 - 0
WUP
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
SGD
2 - 1
PAD
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 1
STP
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |