Rot-Weiss Essen vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
BOC
5 - 4
ROT
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
ROT
3 - 1
WAL
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BOR
0 - 2
ROT
38%
26%
35%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ROT
3 - 0
SPO
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
PRE
4 - 0
ROT
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
MAI
2 - 0
EIN
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
ELV
2 - 1
MAI
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
MAI
4 - 1
WWO
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
DIE
3 - 1
MAI
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
MAI
0 - 1
BSC
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |