Rot-Weiss Essen vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
ROT
2 - 1
VER
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
PRE
3 - 1
ROT
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
ROT
5 - 0
WWO
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
CLO
0 - 0
ROT
22%
27%
52%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ROT
0 - 1
EIN
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
MAI
0 - 0
PRE
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
WWO
4 - 0
MAI
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -3 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MAI
4 - 1
CLO
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
EIN
1 - 2
MAI
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
MAI
2 - 3
DIE
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |