Rot-Weiss Essen vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
WIE
0 - 1
ROT
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
RWA
2 - 0
ROT
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ROT
3 - 0
KFC
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
KÖL
3 - 3
ROT
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
S04
1 - 2
ROT
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
DIE
6 - 1
RWA
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ROD
2 - 1
DIE
45%
24%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
DIE
4 - 1
WEG
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
DIE
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
DIE
2 - 0
BOR
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |