Rot-Weiss Essen vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 2
ROT
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
KÖL
4 - 2
ROT
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 1
ROT
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 0
S04
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TUS
2 - 2
DIE
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DIE
1 - 1
ELV
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MAI
3 - 1
DIE
32%
25%
44%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
VER
1 - 0
DIE
31%
25%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DIE
0 - 0
KÖL
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |