Rot-Weiss Essen vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
ROT
3 - 0
SAC
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
BOR
0 - 1
ROT
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ROT
4 - 0
S04
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PAD
2 - 1
ROT
42%
25%
34%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
ROT
5 - 0
CHE
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
HOL
5 - 2
DIE
46%
25%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
DIE
0 - 0
HAM
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
WUP
3 - 0
DIE
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
DIE
2 - 0
SGD
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
STP
4 - 0
DIE
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |