Rot-Weiss Essen vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
WAT
2 - 1
ROT
50%
24%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
ROT
1 - 0
PRE
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
CHE
1 - 1
ROT
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
ROT
0 - 0
SGD
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2002 |
BAB
1 - 1
ROT
33%
25%
41%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
DIE
1 - 1
OSN
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
WAT
3 - 3
DIE
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
DIE
3 - 4
BAY
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2002 |
PRE
1 - 0
DIE
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
DIE
2 - 3
ERZ
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |