Rot-Weiss Essen vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
28%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1967 |
ROT
0 - 1
MSV
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1966 |
ROT
1 - 3
STU
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1966 |
EBT
0 - 0
ROT
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1966 |
ROT
1 - 3
KOL
25%
24%
50%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
MUN
1 - 0
ROT
83%
11%
6%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1967 |
KSC
2 - 2
KAI
46%
23%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1966 |
MSV
0 - 1
KSC
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1966 |
KSC
1 - 0
S04
44%
23%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1966 |
KSC
4 - 1
STU
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
EBT
4 - 1
KSC
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |