Rot-Weiss Essen vs Jahn Hiesfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
STR
2 - 4
ROT
25%
22%
53%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
ROT
1 - 1
DIE
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1998 |
SWE
1 - 4
ROT
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
ROT
1 - 0
TUS
72%
17%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
GET
1 - 2
ROT
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Jahn Hiesfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
JDH
1 - 3
FCB
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
RHE
4 - 1
JDH
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
JDH
3 - 4
BAE
51%
24%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
JDH
1 - 1
FOR
26%
25%
50%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
STR
3 - 1
JDH
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |