Rot-Weiss Essen vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
HAM
0 - 4
ROT
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
ROT
4 - 5
VER
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
ROT
0 - 1
LEV
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
ROT
1 - 1
DIE
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
WAT
2 - 1
ROT
50%
24%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
HOL
3 - 4
WAT
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
PRE
6 - 4
HOL
63%
20%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
HOL
1 - 1
HER
12%
21%
67%
|
49 | 88 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
HOL
2 - 3
CHE
35%
27%
39%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
SGD
2 - 1
HOL
56%
24%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |