Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DIE
1 - 4
ROT
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
ROT
4 - 0
BAY
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ROT
4 - 1
BER
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 1
VER
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 4
ROT
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
KÖL
2 - 2
DIE
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
KÖL
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
KÖL
1 - 0
VEL
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 1
KÖL
28%
25%
48%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
KÖL
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |