Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
DRE
0 - 2
ROT
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ROT
3 - 2
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
KFC
1 - 1
ROT
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
ROT
0 - 1
LUB
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
OSN
2 - 1
ROT
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
KÖL
2 - 0
BAY
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
WAT
1 - 1
KÖL
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
KÖL
2 - 0
ERZ
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
EBT
2 - 2
KÖL
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
KÖL
1 - 1
HOL
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |