Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1973 |
BYM
2 - 0
ROT
90%
7%
3%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
ROT
2 - 6
MON
22%
25%
54%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1973 |
OFC
1 - 1
ROT
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1972 |
HSV
5 - 0
ROT
57%
20%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
ROT
5 - 3
HSV
43%
20%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1973 |
KÖL
1 - 1
F95
28%
29%
43%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
KÖL
0 - 3
BYM
9%
21%
70%
|
60 | 91 | 31 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1973 |
MON
3 - 1
KÖL
91%
6%
3%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1972 |
KOL
4 - 0
KÖL
86%
9%
5%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
KÖL
2 - 1
KOL
16%
19%
66%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | +1 |