Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
SWE
1 - 0
ROT
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
ROT
5 - 0
KFC
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
ARG
1 - 3
ROT
17%
22%
61%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
ROT
4 - 0
PRE
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
GUT
2 - 3
ROT
13%
21%
66%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
KÖL
2 - 2
AAA
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
ERK
0 - 0
KÖL
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
KÖL
1 - 0
LEV
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1971 |
BYM
6 - 0
KÖL
92%
6%
2%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
EGE
3 - 1
KÖL
39%
25%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |