Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
71%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ROT
3 - 2
WEG
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 2
ROT
16%
25%
59%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
ROT
4 - 1
STR
67%
19%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ROT
3 - 1
DIE
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
AAA
1 - 1
ROT
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
STP
0 - 3
F95
15%
20%
65%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
F95
3 - 0
OSN
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
KSC
1 - 2
F95
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
F95
3 - 2
DAR
43%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
BOC
5 - 0
F95
31%
24%
45%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |