Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis

Rot-Weiss Essen Ingolstadt 04
73 ELO 76
13.3% Tilt 12.8%
1061º General ELO ranking 844º
50º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
35.6%
Rot-Weiss Essen
24.8%
Draw
39.7%
Ingolstadt 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
Rot-Weiss Essen
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.7%
Win probability
Ingolstadt 04
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rot-Weiss Essen
+17%
-8%
Ingolstadt 04

Points and table prediction

Rot-Weiss Essen
Their league position
Ingolstadt 04
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
19º
54
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Arminia Bielefeld
72
72
100%
Dynamo Dresden
70
70
100%
1. FC Saarbrücken
65
65
100%
Energie Cottbus
62
62
100%
Hansa Rostock
60
60
100%
Viktoria Köln
59
59
100%
Verl
57
57
100%
Rot-Weiss Essen
56
56
100%
Wehen Wiesbaden
55
55
100%
Ingolstadt 04
10º
54
54
10º
100%
1860 München
11º
53
53
11º
100%
Alemannia Aachen
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Erzgebirge Aue
13º
50
50
13º
100%
VfL Osnabrück
14º
48
48
14º
100%
Stuttgart II
15º
47
47
15º
100%
Waldhof Mannheim
16º
46
46
16º
100%
B. Dortmund II
17º
43
43
17º
100%
Hannover 96 II
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Sandhausen
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Unterhaching
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rot-Weiss Essen
Ingolstadt 04
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Rot-Weiss Essen
Ingolstadt 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rot-Weiss Essen
Rot-Weiss Essen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2025
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
1 - 3
Rot-Weiss Essen
ROT
52%
24%
24%
71 76 5 0
08 Feb. 2025
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
1 - 1
Unterhaching
UNT
56%
22%
22%
71 66 5 0
02 Feb. 2025
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 2
Rot-Weiss Essen
ROT
61%
23%
16%
70 80 10 +1
26 Jan. 2025
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
5 - 1
Hannover 96 II
HAN
51%
24%
26%
69 67 2 +1
19 Jan. 2025
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
2 - 0
Rot-Weiss Essen
ROT
32%
27%
42%
69 66 3 0

Matches

Ingolstadt 04
Ingolstadt 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2025
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 1
Stuttgart II
STU
67%
20%
13%
77 65 12 0
08 Feb. 2025
MUN
1860 München
1 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
33%
26%
41%
77 73 4 0
01 Feb. 2025
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 0
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
28%
25%
47%
76 83 7 +1
26 Jan. 2025
ING
Ingolstadt 04
3 - 1
Unterhaching
UNT
59%
22%
19%
75 67 8 +1
19 Jan. 2025
WAL
Waldhof Mannheim
0 - 0
Ingolstadt 04
ING
31%
25%
44%
75 70 5 0