Rot-Weiss Essen vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
SAC
0 - 2
ROT
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
ROT
2 - 0
TEN
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
ROT
1 - 3
EBT
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
WAT
1 - 2
ROT
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2000 |
ROT
0 - 0
FCU
29%
28%
44%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
ERZ
1 - 2
DRE
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2000 |
WSV
2 - 2
ERZ
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
BOR
1 - 1
ERZ
38%
26%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
ERZ
0 - 0
WER
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
F95
4 - 1
ERZ
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -2 |