Rot-Weiss Essen vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
CHE
1 - 2
ROT
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
ROT
2 - 0
PRE
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
HER
1 - 0
ROT
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ROT
1 - 0
BAY
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
WUP
0 - 0
ROT
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
CZJ
1 - 0
WAT
58%
22%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
OSN
2 - 2
CZJ
55%
23%
23%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
CZJ
0 - 2
HOL
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CHE
1 - 3
CZJ
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
CZJ
0 - 1
PRE
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |