Rot-Weiss Essen vs B. Leverkusen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2009 |
BOR
2 - 2
ROT
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
ROT
3 - 0
KLE
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
MAI
2 - 1
ROT
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
VER
2 - 0
ROT
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 4
PRE
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2009 |
BAY
2 - 1
PRE
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
WWO
0 - 0
BAY
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
BAY
3 - 0
CLO
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
EIN
1 - 0
BAY
35%
25%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 3
DIE
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |