Rot-Weiss Essen vs B. Leverkusen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
PRE
1 - 0
ROT
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
ROT
2 - 1
VER
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
SAL
1 - 0
ROT
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
ROT
1 - 0
KFC
33%
28%
40%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
ROT
2 - 1
ADL
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
BAY
2 - 0
IDA
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
PIR
2 - 2
BAY
33%
23%
44%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
PRE
3 - 3
BAY
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1999 |
BAY
2 - 2
VER
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1999 |
EIN
3 - 0
BAY
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -2 |