Rot-Weiss Essen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
NEU
0 - 0
ROT
21%
22%
56%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
ROT
3 - 0
HAM
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
KÖL
0 - 2
ROT
24%
23%
54%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
ROT
3 - 1
BSC
85%
12%
4%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
ROT
6 - 1
EID
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
ARB
4 - 4
F95
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
SWE
1 - 1
ARB
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
ARB
0 - 0
LEV
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
LSV
2 - 0
ARB
32%
23%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
TSV
2 - 1
ARB
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |