Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
WUP
1 - 2
ROT
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ROT
5 - 0
LIP
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ROT
4 - 1
VFB
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
STR
0 - 2
ROT
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ROT
4 - 0
BER
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
AAA
0 - 3
SPO
43%
25%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
DIE
0 - 2
AAA
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
AAA
1 - 1
WEG
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AAA
0 - 2
WUP
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
VFB
0 - 2
AAA
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |