Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
ERN
1 - 0
ROT
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
RWA
1 - 2
ROT
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ROT
0 - 2
SPO
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
VIK
1 - 0
ROT
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ROT
1 - 0
VER
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
S04
0 - 1
AAA
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
AAA
2 - 3
VEL
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
WEG
2 - 2
AAA
18%
23%
60%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
AAA
2 - 3
WAT
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ERN
1 - 2
AAA
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |