Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
WIE
0 - 3
ROT
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
ROT
1 - 1
SPO
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
ROT
1 - 5
BVB
3%
11%
86%
|
49 | 93 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ROT
1 - 0
SPO
37%
26%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BOC
0 - 1
ROT
31%
25%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
AAA
3 - 1
H05
69%
18%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
WAT
0 - 1
AAA
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AAA
1 - 1
LEV
7%
16%
77%
|
48 | 89 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
S04
2 - 0
AAA
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
AAA
3 - 0
WAT
75%
16%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |