Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
WAT
2 - 1
ROT
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
ROT
0 - 4
KSC
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
SCF
1 - 0
ROT
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
ROT
0 - 0
MSV
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
ROT
3 - 4
HAN
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
AAA
0 - 0
KÖL
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
AAA
2 - 2
DAR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
WAT
0 - 2
AAA
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
AAA
0 - 0
KSC
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1983 |
AAA
1 - 0
BOC
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |