Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
KFC
2 - 0
ROT
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1982 |
ROT
2 - 1
BVL
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1982 |
AUG
0 - 0
ROT
24%
26%
49%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
AAA
0 - 1
ROT
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
ROT
4 - 2
FRE
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
AAA
3 - 1
SGF
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1982 |
WAT
1 - 2
AAA
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1982 |
AAA
0 - 0
DAR
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
AAA
0 - 1
ROT
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
HES
3 - 0
AAA
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |