Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
KFC
1 - 0
ROT
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1977 |
ROT
4 - 1
FCB
90%
7%
2%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
SCH
1 - 1
ROT
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1977 |
AHA
0 - 0
ROT
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
F95
4 - 1
ROT
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
AAA
1 - 0
AHA
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1977 |
RWL
2 - 2
AAA
31%
26%
42%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
AAA
1 - 0
LEV
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1977 |
OSC
2 - 1
AAA
27%
27%
47%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
AAA
3 - 0
KÖL
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +2 |