Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
ERK
1 - 0
ROT
21%
26%
53%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
ROT
7 - 0
LEV
86%
10%
4%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
EGE
0 - 4
ROT
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
ROT
3 - 2
WAT
90%
8%
2%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
WHE
1 - 2
ROT
20%
25%
54%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
WUP
5 - 0
AAA
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
AAA
1 - 1
ERK
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
LEV
1 - 1
AAA
36%
25%
38%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
AAA
2 - 2
EGE
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
WAT
2 - 1
AAA
24%
23%
53%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |