Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
KOL
6 - 1
ROT
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ROT
1 - 0
TSV
51%
22%
27%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
ROT
1 - 1
SVS
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ROT
3 - 0
DUI
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
BOC
1 - 1
ROT
77%
14%
10%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
AAA
2 - 0
BVB
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
MSV
0 - 0
AAA
64%
19%
17%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
AAA
0 - 2
TSV
70%
16%
14%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
HAM
2 - 2
AAA
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
AAA
0 - 1
PRE
71%
16%
13%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |