Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
SHE
2 - 1
ROT
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ROT
1 - 0
MON
81%
11%
9%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
LEV
3 - 2
ROT
40%
24%
36%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ROT
0 - 0
BOC
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
SWE
3 - 4
ROT
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
AAA
2 - 1
SVS
82%
11%
7%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
BVB
1 - 0
AAA
79%
12%
9%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
AAA
7 - 2
PRE
71%
16%
13%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
S04
7 - 1
AAA
73%
16%
11%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
AAA
4 - 2
KOL
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |