Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
ROT
2 - 2
SVS
85%
9%
6%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
SKF
2 - 3
ROT
30%
22%
48%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ROT
2 - 0
SHE
87%
8%
5%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
AAA
4 - 1
ROT
36%
22%
42%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
MON
0 - 7
ROT
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
AAA
3 - 1
F95
77%
13%
10%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
AAA
4 - 1
MON
69%
16%
15%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
PRD
1 - 3
AAA
70%
16%
14%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
AAA
4 - 1
ROT
36%
22%
42%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
AAA
1 - 1
SKF
76%
13%
11%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |