Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ROT
2 - 1
PRD
71%
16%
13%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
PRE
0 - 4
ROT
62%
19%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
ROT
4 - 1
TSG
67%
17%
16%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
DFV
2 - 3
ROT
37%
22%
41%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ROT
1 - 3
SHE
55%
21%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -3 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
AAA
3 - 1
S04
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
AAA
1 - 1
SRW
59%
20%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
ROT
1 - 1
AAA
68%
17%
15%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
AAA
2 - 2
BVB
43%
23%
33%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SHE
7 - 0
AAA
74%
15%
12%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |