Rot-Weiss Essen II vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 1
ESS
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ESS
1 - 2
WAT
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
HAM
1 - 4
ESS
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ESS
2 - 2
SPO
17%
23%
60%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ABI
2 - 2
ESS
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 2
SWE
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SOI
2 - 1
VEL
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 0
GUT
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
BSC
6 - 2
VEL
51%
24%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 2
AAA
43%
25%
33%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |